FutuurComprobar disponibilidadDatos de resolución verificadosAviso de calidad de datosSin cotizaciones en vivo
Datos del 29 oct 2026, 22:21 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Probabilidad implícita actual
Between 93.1% and 96.0% (inclusive) 72%Líder entre 5 opciones
Between 93.1% and 96.0% (inclusive) 72%Calidad del mercado
25 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
1,2 mil €
Baja liquidezTraders
14
Comentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This event predicts the highest verified score achieved on the ARC-AGI-2 benchmark (Semi-Private Evaluation Set) by any AI system, as reported on the official ARC Prize leaderboard, at any time before January 1, 2027, 00:00:00 UTC.
- Each listed market below corresponds to one mutually exclusive percentage range of the maximum score; exactly one market will resolve "Yes".
- The Primary Designated Source is the ARC Prize official leaderboard (arcprize.org/leaderboard), specifically the highest verified ARC-AGI-2 semi-private-set score listed at any time before January 1, 2027, 00:00:00 UTC.
- Only scores that ARC Prize publicly verifies (i.e., submitted, evaluated, and listed on the leaderboard) count.
- Self-reported, unverified, or test-set results that have not been validated by the ARC Prize do not count.
- Markets whose ranges have been exceeded by a qualifying score may resolve "No" before the deadline.