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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. IA
  3. Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

IATecnologíaYearly6m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
At least 50%
At least 50% 89%
Líder entre 9 opciones
Calidad del mercado

40 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

0 €

Liquidez

23,6 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

85.0% / 89.0%

Spread

4.7%

Spread moderado
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 1 minuto

20 may 26, 14:0031 dic 26, 15:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

At least 50%89%

Reglas

If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 55% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Mercados Relacionados

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?

8,8 €
At least 70%: 53%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)

5,9 mil €
Google: 14.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

1,9 mil €
Sí: 6%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

984,1 €
None in 2026: 70%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

479,3 €
Sí: 26%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Best AI at the end of 2026?

Best AI at the end of 2026?

441,2 €
Claude: 67%KalshiKALSHI

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,680.24+2.12%SolanaSOL$65.12+1.51%EthereumETH$1,650.31+1.26%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.55%BNBBNB$595.00+1.48%XRPXRP$1.12+0.22%

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Reglas

If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 55% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.