KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
At least 50% · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
At least 50% 98.5%Líder entre 9 opciones
At least 50% 98.5%Calidad del mercado
55 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
343,4 €
Interés abierto
27,3 mil US$
Interés abierto altoCompra / Venta
— / —
At least 50%Spread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 29 minutos
20 may 26, 14:00 UTC31 dic 26, 15:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · At least 50%
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWill the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Humanity's Last Exam
Reglas de cada resultado
- At least 50%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 55%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 55% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 60%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 65%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 75%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 70%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 85%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 85% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 90%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 90% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 80%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 80% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.