KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
At least 60% · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
At least 60% 80.5%Líder entre 8 opciones
At least 60% 80.5%Calidad del mercado
39 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Interés abierto
3,7 mil US$
Interés abierto medioCompra / Venta
— / —
At least 60%Spread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
20 may 26, 14:00 UTC31 dic 27, 15:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · At least 60%
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
KalshiHighest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketWill Al achieve 95% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Al achieve 85% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2028?
Manifold MarketsHighest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketIn what year will Al achieve 85% or higher score on the Humanity’s Last Exam benchmark?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Humanity's Last Exam
Reglas de cada resultado
- At least 60%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 65%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 70%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 75%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 80%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 80% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 85%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 85% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 90%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 90% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 95%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 95% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.