Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer?
IAOne-Off3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 80.7%
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Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado17 mar 25, 23:31 UTC1 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
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Will the first AI model that receives a score of 75 or higher be capable (with an agent scaffolding) of replacing a software engineer?
- Resolves based on my personal judgement, in particular whether it is cost- and time-effective for ZeroPath to use it to replace one of our engineers (or accomplish the same amount with fewer people).
- Example tasks it should be capable of:
- "Fix this error we're getting on BetterStack."
- "Move our Redis cache from DigitalOcean to AWS."
- "Add and implement a cancellation feature for ZeroPath scans."
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+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 132,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,3 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
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- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
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- 9,1 M €
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- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
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- 322,4 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 81% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer??
- Está previsto que Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Will the first AI model that receives a score of 75 or higher be capable (with an agent scaffolding) of replacing a software engineer?