PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Down
Resolved: Oct 12, 2026, 11:21 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Down
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
51%
Probability Timeline
Up0%
Down100%
DownWon
UpLost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on October 12, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on October 12, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, the market will resolve 50-50.
