Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19?
Tech
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Nov 18, 2023, 5:46 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleNov 14, 23, 7:49 PMNov 19, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
If any Starship successfully launches and lifts to an altitude of at least 500 meters from its launchpad by November 19, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches an altitude of 500m above the launch pad will have no bearing on the outcome.
- Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19? resolve?
- Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19? is scheduled to resolve on November 19, 2023.
- How is Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: If any Starship successfully launches and lifts to an altitude of at least 500 meters from its launchpad by November 19, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”.