PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 54%-0.1pt
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$174.5
Low liquidityBid / Ask
1.3% / 91.6%
Spread
90.3 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
-2.4 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 26, 26, 11:40 PM UTCSep 14, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?
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PolymarketRules
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards are scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Los Angeles.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if any presenter or winner drops an Emmy statuette on stage during the live broadcast of the ceremony.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a "drop" means the statuette unintentionally leaves the holder's hands entirely and makes contact with the floor or stage surface.
- Bobbling, slipping fingers, or briefly losing grip without the statuette falling out of the hand and hitting the ground will not qualify.
- Drops occurring backstage, at the Governors Ball, or at any other afterparty or secondary event which is not part of the televised ceremony will not be considered.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.5pt70.6%
- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will anyone drop an Emmy on stage??
- Polymarket prices No at 54% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will anyone drop an Emmy on stage? resolve?
- Will anyone drop an Emmy on stage? is scheduled to resolve on September 14, 2026.
- How is Will anyone drop an Emmy on stage? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards are scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Los Angeles.