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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?

1.8% (24h)One-OffPoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle East19d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 0%-0.0%
Market quality

52 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$1.9K

Liquidity

$8.9K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

0.3% / 0.5%

Spread

66.7%

Wide spread
7d Change

-4.6%

Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

Apr 1, 26, 6:08 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Yes
Yes
0%
No
No
100%

Selected outcome

Yes0%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
  • Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
  • For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
  • Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
  • Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
  • For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
  • Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.