PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityHong Wang 80%-3.5%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$169.4
Liquidity
$4.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
79.0% / 81.0%
Spread
2.5%
Tight spread7d Change
-3.5%
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jan 6, 26, 7:06 PMJul 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
Hong Wang80%
Also available on Kalshi
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
11.1%6mo
+11.1%55%
+6.2%76%
-8.7%83%
+7 more outcomes
28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$651.5
24h Vol$10.3
KALSHIRules
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide.
- It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years.
- The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
- If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Rules
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide.
- It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years.
- The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
- If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.