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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Science
  3. Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?

Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?

11.1% (24h)ScienceYearly6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yu Deng
Yu Deng 55%+11.1%
Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$10.3

Liquidity

$340.5

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

45.4% / 54.9%

Spread

20.9%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Mar 27, 25, 2:00 PMDec 31, 26, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yu Deng55%

PolymarketAlso available on Polymarket

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

3.5%1mo
Hong Wang
Hong Wang
-3.5%80%
John Pardon
John Pardon
-2.5%65%
Jacob Tsimerman
Jacob Tsimerman
-4.0%64%

+8 more outcomes

71 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$532.6K
24h Vol$169.4
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Rules

If Hong Wang wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Jacob Tsimerman wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Yu Deng wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Jack Thorne wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If John Pardon wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Sam Raskin wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,840.99+2.80%EthereumETH$1,658.19+2.49%SolanaSOL$65.07+2.52%HyperliquidHYPE$55.67+0.36%XRPXRP$1.12+1.19%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.97%

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Rules

If Hong Wang wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Jacob Tsimerman wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Yu Deng wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Jack Thorne wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If John Pardon wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Sam Raskin wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.