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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

2.2% (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection4mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
North Carolina
North Carolina 96%
Leader of 24 outcomes
Market quality

64 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$1.2K

Liquidity

$257.5K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

6.6% / 10.0%

Spread

51.5%

Wide spread
7d Change

-0.4%

Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Apr 30, 26, 6:32 PMNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

North Carolina96%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
  • Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
  • Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
  • If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

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Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
  • Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
  • Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
  • If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.