Current implied probability
Anthropic 56.6%-6.0ptLeader of 21 outcomes
Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$22K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
+14.5 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 13, 26, 12:06 AMNov 1, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
- Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores.
- If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead.
- If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”).
- This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
