PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Florida 57%Leader of 4 outcomes
Florida 57%Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$7.1K
Liquidity
$3.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Oct 7, 26, 1:56 PM UTCOct 16, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?
PolymarketWhere will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?
PolymarketWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
KalshiWill 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?
PolymarketWill a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina this year?
KalshiWill at least one major hurricane make landfall in the US*?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Hurricane Center (NHC) reports that Isaias (NHC designation AL092026) made landfall in the listed state as a hurricane, by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The landfall must occur by that deadline; confirmation may arrive afterward.
- If Isaias makes more than one landfall, every listed state with a qualifying landfall will resolve to "Yes".
- Every market in this event may resolve to "No".
- A report means an explicit statement, in a Tropical Cyclone Update, Public Advisory (including intermediate and special advisories), or Discussion issued for Isaias, that the center made landfall or moved onshore.