2026
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
No 97.5%
No 97.5%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$10.7
Open interest
$2K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 3:00 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
KalshiWill a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?
KalshiWill a hurricane make landfall in a US state (Pacific)?
Manifold MarketsWill a Category 4 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?
KalshiWill a Category 5 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?
KalshiWhere will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?
PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:AccuWeatherNBCAssociated PressNational Oceanic and Atmospheric AdministrationThe Wall Street Journalthe National Hurricane CenterThe Washington PostNational Weather ServiceCNN WeatherThe New York TimesBloomberg NewsThe Weather ChannelReuters
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.