What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (June 24 - June 28)
70.0% (24h)GeopoliticsOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope19h
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityBorder 100%+81.5%Leader of 18 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$88.7
Liquidity
$77.9
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jun 23, 26, 8:18 PMJun 28, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Deal52%
Related Markets
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?
$626December 31: 14%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?
$100Yes: 6%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Russian attacks or invades Finland by mid 2026
$558.8Yes: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSRussian attacks or invades Latvia by mid 2026
$215.5Yes: 2.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Russia attack Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia) by 2030?
$205.2Yes: 22%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?
$0Yes: 19%
KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between June 24 and June 28, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline.
- The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article.
- Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline.
- Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count.