PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Tesla 100%+4.0ptLeader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$754.5
Low liquiditySpread
56.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 4, 26, 9:38 PM UTCSep 13, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
100%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between September 7, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
- Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full.
- (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
- Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context.