PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Beauty in Black: Season 3 87.2%+75.5ptLeader of 10 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.9K
Liquidity
$19.7K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 2, 26, 11:54 PMSep 8, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Rules
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
- This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show.
- Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking.
- If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles.
- This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for The Gentlemen: Season 2 is 3%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference The Gentlemen: Season 2 3% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — #2 US Netflix Show this week? · Beauty in Black 84%
