KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Oct 21, 2026, 11:20 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 21, 2026, 10:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Tame Impala4%
Phish3%
Lana Del Rey5%
Odesza4%
My Chemical Romance4%
A$AP Rocky4%
ColdplayLost
Billie EilishLost
Vampire WeekendLost
Lana Del ReyLost
Travis ScottLost
GRiZLost
A$AP RockyLost
Fred again..Lost
Tame ImpalaLost
RadioheadLost
My Chemical RomanceLost
Pearl JamLost
Olivia RodrigoLost
LCD SoundsystemLost
Tyler, The CreatorLost
Kendrick LamarLost
JusticeLost
OdeszaLost
Zach BryanLost
PhishLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Kalshi2027 Minnesota Yacht Club Festival: Headliners
KalshiI visit the Addis Jazz Festival 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Spotify remain the most popular music streaming platform in the US at the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the named outcome is a headliner at Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsVogueMSNBCBBCReutersBonnarooCNNNBCthe Associated PressCBSThe New York TimesBloomberg News
- To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event.
- Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify.
- Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count.
- The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format.
- Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role.
