PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability
Oil Sanction Relief 19%-7.0%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$152.7K
Liquidity
$212.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
16.0% / 17.0%
Spread
6.3%
Moderate spread7d Change
-10.0%
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
May 21, 26, 9:12 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
Oil Sanction Relief19%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States agrees to the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Continued enrichment of uranium by Iran refers to US acceptance of the enrichment of, or the right to enrich, any quantity of uranium by Iran for any future amount of time.
- Agreements that include limitations, restrictions, or specified terms (e.g., caps on enrichment level, monitoring requirements) will qualify, provided the United States accepts continued enrichment.
- The United States will be considered to have agreed to the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran if:
- - Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that they have definitively agreed to accept the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran. - Continued enrichment of uranium by Iran is included as part of a treaty or deal that is formally established between the United States and Iran, either through signing or other formal means.