Selected book midpoint
Yes · —
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Stored reference
Yes 69%
Yes 69%Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$159.7
Liquidity
$347.8
Low liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Oct 7, 26, 7:20 PM UTCOct 20, 26, 9:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · Yes
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 13?
PolymarketTesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on October 13?
PolymarketWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of October 12 above___?
PolymarketTesla (TSLA) closes week of Oct 12 at ___?
PolymarketWill Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
Manifold MarketsWill BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?
LimitlessRules
As of market creation, Tesla is estimated to release earnings on October 20, 2026.
- The Street consensus estimate for Tesla’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.43 as of market creation.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.43 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
- If Tesla releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
- If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha.
