Settled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Oct 29, 2026, 11:24 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 10:03 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
$400 100%+44.5ptLeader of 5 outcomes
$400 100%+44.5ptMarket quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$272
Liquidity
$3.8K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$147.8
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 19 hours ago
StaleOct 28, 26, 12:00 PM UTCOct 29, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Trends
$400100%
$4200%
$4300%
$390Won
$410Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on October 30?
PolymarketWill Tesla (TSLA) close above ___ end of October?
PolymarketTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 30?
PolymarketWill Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
Manifold MarketsTesla (TSLA) stock price at the end of year? [Multiple Years And Prices]
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on October 29, 2026 is higher than the listed price.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
- For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
