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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. US Politics
  3. Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?

2.0% (24h)One-OffUS Politics18d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
June 30
June 30 40%+2.0%
Market quality

91 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$1.9K

Liquidity

$26.7K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

39.0% / 40.0%

Spread

2.6%

Tight spread
7d Change

+11.0%

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

May 4, 26, 11:52 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
May 31
May 31
0%

Selected outcome

June 3040%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
  • A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models.
  • A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
  • Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
  • Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.

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Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
  • A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models.
  • A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
  • Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
  • Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.