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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?
Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

4.5% (24h)One-OffPolitics2d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Civilian Service Act
Civilian Service Act 55%+0.5%
Market quality

80 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$4.8K

Liquidity

$28.4K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

19.0% / 20.0%

Spread

5.3%

Moderate spread
7d Change

-11.5%

Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Apr 3, 26, 11:50 PMJun 14, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Civilian Service Act55%

Rules

As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on June 14, 2026 :

Polymarket
  • - Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland - Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
  • If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.

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Rules

As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on June 14, 2026 :

Polymarket
  • - Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland - Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
  • If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.