This market resolved: Down
Resolved: Sep 14, 2026, 10:30 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Down
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
83%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 15, 2026, 4:17 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Down 100%+18.4pt
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$18K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleSep 11, 26, 12:00 PM UTCSep 14, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Up0%
Down100%
100%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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MyriadRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, September 14, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, September 14, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
- If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
