PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Down 97%+47.1pt
Down 97%+47.1ptMarket quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$15.8K
Liquidity
$31.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
2.6% / 4.2%
Spread
1.6 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Oct 6, 26, 12:00 PM UTCOct 7, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 8?
PolymarketWill SPX reach 8,000 this week (by October 9, 2026)?
Manifold MarketsWill SPX reach 8,000 by the end of October 2026?
Manifold MarketsLargest Company end of December 2026?
PolymarketS&P close price end of 2026?
KalshiS&P price on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Wednesday, October 7, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Wednesday, October 7, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
- If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.