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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Space
  3. Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

0.1% (24h)One-OffSpaceScience18d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 2%
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$129.9

Liquidity

$8.2K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

1.3% / 2.6%

Spread

100.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

+1.4%

Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Apr 9, 26, 8:06 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes2%

Rules

Pluto is currently classified as a dwarf planet by the International Astronomical Union.

Polymarket
  • NASA administrator Jared Isaacman has urged Donald Trump to declare Pluto a planet again.
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet.
  • Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

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Rules

Pluto is currently classified as a dwarf planet by the International Astronomical Union.

Polymarket
  • NASA administrator Jared Isaacman has urged Donald Trump to declare Pluto a planet again.
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet.
  • Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.