PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Keiko Fujimori (100%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
Keiko Fujimori 100%+0.3ptLeader of 48 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$7.7K
Liquidity
$5.6M
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+0.6 pts
Market data
Updated 72 days ago
StaleMar 20, 26, 2:36 PMApr 12, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Keiko Fujimori100%
Rafael López Aliaga0%
Vladimir Cerrón0%
Fiorella Molinelli0%
Carlos Espá0%
Yonhy Lescano0%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino0%
Candidate F0%
Candidate H0%
Candidate I0%
Candidate J0%
Candidate L0%
Candidate N0%
Candidate P0%
Candidate S0%
Candidate V0%
Candidate Y0%
Roberto Chiabra0%
José Williams0%
Fernando Olivera0%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa0%
Marisol Pérez Tello0%
Candidate D0%
Candidate G0%
Candidate K0%
Candidate Q0%
Candidate U0%
Mario Vizcarra0%
César Acuña0%
José Luna0%
Jorge Nieto1%
Wolfgang Grozo0%
Candidate C0%
Candidate E0%
Candidate W0%
Carlos Álvarez0%
Alfonso López Chau0%
George Forsyth0%
Enrique Valderrama0%
Ricardo Belmont0%
Mesías Guevara0%
Other0%
Candidate M0%
Candidate O0%
Candidate R0%
Candidate T0%
Candidate X0%
Candidate Z0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Keiko Fujimori
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $7.7K | $5.6M | 72 days ago | |
 Kalshi80% match · verified | Low | 99% | — | $0 | $0 | 107 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Peru presidential election: first round winner?
Closed
Resolved
Keiko Fujimori (99%)
-0.2pt98%
1%
+0.4pt1%
+6 more outcomes
14 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
KALSHIRules
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
- The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election.
- If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names.
- This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
- The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election.
- If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names.
- This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".