PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Down
Resolved: Oct 28, 2026, 11:29 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Down
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 6:05 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Up0%
Down100%
DownWon
UpLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?
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Manifold MarketsBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on October 28, 2026 is higher than the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on October 28, 2026 is lower than the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.