Current implied probability
December 31, 91%+3.5pt
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$16.8
Liquidity
$3.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
89.0% / 93.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
+9.5 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessWhat will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of September 7 2026?
PolymarketNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on September 8?
PolymarketWhat will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketWill Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "High" price above $236.54, NVDA’s official all-time intraday high as published by Nasdaq, set on May 14, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered.
- Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
- Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
Open markets
Equities
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $211.6K
- 24h Vol
- $45.2K
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.99-1.0pt16.7%
- 8,000 to 8,199.99-2.0pt14.7%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9910.8%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.4M
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt77.7%
- Apple+0.7pt13.6%
- Alphabet6.8%
+5 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-4.5pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++13.3pt77.9%
- 1.25T–1.5T-4.5pt7.7%
- 1T–1.25T-1.3pt5.8%
+4 more outcomes
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?
- Down+3.0pt73%
- Up-3.0pt27%
- Total Vol
- $19.6K
- 24h Vol
- $17.5K
- S&P price on Sep 8, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- STRC hits $100 by…
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in September 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- EQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by which date??
- Polymarket prices December 31, at 91% as of September 8, 2026.
- How is NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "High" price above $236.54, NVDA’s official all-time intraday high as published by Nasdaq, set on May 14, 2026.