PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Péter Magyar (100%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
Péter Magyar 100%+0.1ptLeader of 26 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$351.8K
Liquidity
$5.7M
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+0.3 pts
Market data
Updated 79 days ago
StaleJul 24, 25, 10:05 PMApr 12, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Péter Magyar100%
Other0%
Person Q0%
Person R0%
Person S0%
Person T0%
Person U0%
Viktor Orbán0%
Person P0%
Klára Dobrev0%
László Toroczkai0%
István Kapitány0%
János Lázár0%
Person C0%
Person D0%
Person E0%
Person F0%
Person G0%
Person H0%
Person I0%
Person J0%
Person K0%
Person L0%
Person M0%
Person N0%
Person O0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Péter Magyar
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $351.8K | $5.7M | 79 days ago | |
 Manifold Markets80% match · auto | — | 99% | — | — | — | 94 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Closed
Resolved
Péter Magyar (99.1%)
99.1%
0.7%
0.2%
Community forecast54 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister.
- Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister.
- Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.