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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

0.4% (24h)One-OffPoliticsGeopolitics6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Petro - Colombia President
Petro - Colombia President 61%+3.0%
Leader of 24 outcomes
Market quality

73 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$11K

Liquidity

$350.4K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

0.2% / 0.7%

Spread

250.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

+0.1%

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Apr 27, 26, 10:14 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Petro - Colombia President61%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

Polymarket
  • An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
  • Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution.
  • Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
  • Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
  • If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,634.59+2.05%EthereumETH$1,649.42+1.21%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.46%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.56%XRPXRP$1.12+0.17%BNBBNB$594.88+1.46%

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Rules

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

Polymarket
  • An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
  • Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution.
  • Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
  • Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
  • If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.