PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Down
Resolved: Nov 5, 2026, 9:18 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Down
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 5, 2026, 10:15 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Up1%
Down99%
DownWon
UpLost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on November 5, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on November 5, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.