PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityLisa Demuth 40%+0.5%Leader of 36 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$468.2
Liquidity
$105K
High liquidityBid / Ask
19.0% / 24.0%
Spread
26.3%
Wide spread7d Change
+3.0%
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Dec 10, 25, 9:20 PMAug 11, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Lisa Demuth40%
Also available on Kalshi
Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?
8.0%4mo
-8.0%18%
-1.0%31%
42%
+5 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$208K
24h Vol$5.4K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.
- Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
- If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.
- Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
- If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.