PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Callie Barr 78%-2.5%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.9K
Liquidity
$35.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
21.0% / 25.0%
Spread
19.1%
Wide spread7d Change
-21.5%
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Jul 6, 26, 8:37 PMAug 4, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Callie Barr78%
Volume trend
$4.9kJul 620d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
- If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.