PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 12% to 15%
Resolved: Oct 21, 2026, 10:03 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
12% to 15%
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
35%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 1:12 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
12% to 15%35%
9% to 12%0%
15%+0%
6% to 9%0%
<6%0%
12% to 15%Won
15%+Lost
6% to 9%Lost
9% to 12%Lost
<6%Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve according to Meta's average price per ad growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
- The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials.
- Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
- If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.