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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner
MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner

MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner

2.4% (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Sarah Elfreth
Sarah Elfreth 94%-2.4%
Leader of 16 outcomes
Market quality

52 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$903.2

Liquidity

$3K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

90.0% / 98.3%

Spread

9.2%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Sarah Elfreth94%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S.

Polymarket
  • House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
  • The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
  • If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
  • Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$63,626.05-0.07%EthereumETH$1,666.15-1.03%SolanaSOL$66.74-0.31%DogecoinDOGE$0.0875+1.05%XRPXRP$1.13-1.04%BNBBNB$604.37-0.08%

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Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S.

Polymarket
  • House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
  • The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
  • If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
  • Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.