PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 4:11 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
5°C or below · —
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Stored reference
11°C 27%Leader of 11 outcomes
11°C 27%Market quality
20 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$40.2
Liquidity
$1.6K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$40.2
Bid / Ask
— / —
5°C or belowSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 31, 26, 12:29 PM UTCNov 2, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · 5°C or below
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature reported at Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX) on 2 Nov '26.
- The qualifying value is the lowest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.
