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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Geopolitics
  3. Israel military action against Yemen by...?
Israel military action against Yemen by...?

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

2.0% (24h)One-OffGeopoliticsMiddle East18d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
June 30
June 30 28%+2.0%
Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality

89 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$27.4K

Liquidity

$41.9K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

27.0% / 28.0%

Spread

3.7%

Moderate spread
7d Change

+19.0%

Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

Jan 6, 26, 4:56 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
March 31
March 31
0%
May 31
May 31
0%
April 30
April 30
0%
April 15
April 15
0%

Selected outcome

June 3028%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
  • Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
  • Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
  • The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,126.91+0.41%EthereumETH$1,638.93-0.38%SolanaSOL$64.26-1.49%DogecoinDOGE$0.084-1.26%XRPXRP$1.11-2.58%BNBBNB$591.74-0.30%

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
  • Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
  • Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
  • The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.