PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
15M+ 98%+44.7ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$875.1
Liquidity
$1.2K
Low liquiditySpread
1.6 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 2, 26, 11:58 PMSep 8, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Rules
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
- This market will not consider hours viewed.
- The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week? · At least 15 million 99%
