PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
<6m 98%+2.3ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$11.6K
Liquidity
$19.4K
Medium liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 2:30 PM UTCSep 13, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend.
- The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
- If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Open markets
Entertainment
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey+2.0pt55%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball+1.0pt11%
+37 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.2M
- 24h Vol
- $65.2K
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 940 - 950m+21.0pt56%
- 950 - 960m-22.0pt43%
- 960 - 970m+0.1pt1%
+2 more outcomes
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- Dee Valladares+2.0pt25%
- Rick Devens+1.0pt20.7%
- Yash Patel-7.0pt18.1%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- Grand Theft Auto VI-3.0pt58.5%
- Resident Evil Requiem+2.0pt12.7%
- Control Resonant+1.0pt7.6%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIEmmy winner: Outstanding Variety Series
- The Late Show with Stephen Colbert-1.0pt67.3%
- Tie-3.0pt24%
- Last Week Tonight with John Oliver-1.0pt3.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1+11.0pt85.7%
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+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office
- Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
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- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office?
- Polymarket prices <6m at 98% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office resolve?
- "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office is scheduled to resolve on September 13, 2026.
- How is "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend.