PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 25°C
Resolved: Oct 30, 2026, 7:15 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
25°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
56%
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 9:48 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
25°C100%
24°C16%
26°C or higher0%
23°C1%
20°C0%
22°C0%
25°CWon
16°C or belowLost
17°CLost
18°CLost
19°CLost
20°CLost
21°CLost
22°CLost
23°CLost
24°CLost
26°C or higherLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Mexico City on October 31?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Mexico City on October 31?
Polymarket2026 Mexico City Grand Prix: podium
Manifold Markets2026 Mexico City Grand Prix: race winner
Manifold MarketsF1: Who will win the 2026 Mexico City Grand Prix?
Manifold Markets2026 Mexico City Grand Prix: pole position
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX) on 29 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.
