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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner

11.0% (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElectionEurope1mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Bev Craig
Bev Craig 75%+4.5%
Leader of 51 outcomes
Market quality

73 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$6.1K

Liquidity

$63.1K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

10.0% / 11.0%

Spread

10.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Jun 19, 26, 4:00 PMJul 30, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Bev Craig75%

Rules

The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election.
  • Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
  • If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).

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Rules

The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election.
  • Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
  • If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).