Current implied probability
No 60%+29.5pt
Market quality
57 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.1K
Liquidity
$620.1
Low liquidityBid / Ask
38.0% / 42.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 10, 26, 3:22 PM UTCSep 16, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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ForecastExRules
As of market creation, FedEx is estimated to release earnings on September 16, 2026.
- The Street consensus estimate for FedEx’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $4.05 as of market creation.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if FedEx reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $4.05 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
- If FedEx releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
- If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha.
Open markets
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+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.3M
- 24h Vol
- $65.3K
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 15, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- 28,790 or above98%
- 29,100 or above97%
- 29,120 or above97%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $58.4K
- 24h Vol
- $58.4K
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 15, 2026 at 11am EDT?
- 29,080 or above97%
- 28,950 or above95%
- 28,960 or above95%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $37.7K
- 24h Vol
- $37.7K
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 8,000 to 8,199.99+2.0pt16.5%
- 7,800 to 7,999.9915.7%
- 7,600 to 7,799.99+1.0pt11.3%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.7M
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 15, 2026 at 12pm EDT?
- 28,950 or above95%
- 28,980 or above95%
- 28,990 or above95%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $25K
- 24h Vol
- $25K
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 15, 2026 at 1pm EDT?
- 28,940 or above95%
- 28,960 or above95%
- 28,980 or above95%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $19.5K
- 24h Vol
- $19.5K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings??
- Polymarket prices No at 60% as of September 15, 2026.
- When does Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? resolve?
- Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026.
- How is Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: As of market creation, FedEx is estimated to release earnings on September 16, 2026.