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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Health & Medicine
  3. FDA approves Unicycive's Oxylanthanum carbonate?
FDA approves Unicycive's Oxylanthanum carbonate?

FDA approves Unicycive's Oxylanthanum carbonate?

0.5% (24h)Health & MedicineOne-Off17d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 78%+0.0%
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$9.1

Liquidity

$1.8K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

76.0% / 79.0%

Spread

4.0%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Jun 4, 26, 8:04 PMJun 29, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes78%

Rules

As of market creation, the FDA's expected decision date for the specified application is June 29, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S.
  • Food and Drug Administration (FDA) grants full or conditional approval for Unicycive's Oxylanthanum carbonate as a treatment for hyperphosphatemia in CKD patients on dialysis by July 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • An approval is defined as: For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application
  • The following constitute qualifying approvals: Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit), Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints), Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS), Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs

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Rules

As of market creation, the FDA's expected decision date for the specified application is June 29, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S.
  • Food and Drug Administration (FDA) grants full or conditional approval for Unicycive's Oxylanthanum carbonate as a treatment for hyperphosphatemia in CKD patients on dialysis by July 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • An approval is defined as: For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application
  • The following constitute qualifying approvals: Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit), Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints), Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS), Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs