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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Health & Medicine
  3. FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?

FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?

Health & MedicineOne-Off6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 71%
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$1.8K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

66.0% / 75.0%

Spread

13.6%

Wide spread
7d Change

+2.5%

Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

May 13, 26, 9:54 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes71%

Rules

Daraxonrasib is an RAS inhibitor drug developed by Revolution Medicines and currently in trial to treat RAS-mutated cancers.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S.
  • Food and Drug Administration (FDA) grants a full or conditional approval for a drug product whose active ingredient is Revolution Medicines’ daraxonrasib (including any brand name or identifier) for any use between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • An approval is defined as: For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application
  • The following constitute qualifying approvals: Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit), Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints), Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS), Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs

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Rules

Daraxonrasib is an RAS inhibitor drug developed by Revolution Medicines and currently in trial to treat RAS-mutated cancers.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S.
  • Food and Drug Administration (FDA) grants a full or conditional approval for a drug product whose active ingredient is Revolution Medicines’ daraxonrasib (including any brand name or identifier) for any use between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • An approval is defined as: For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application
  • The following constitute qualifying approvals: Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit), Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints), Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS), Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs