PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 960-999
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, 9:31 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
960-999 100%+16.1ptLeader of 32 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$4.3K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
0.2 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+77.9 pts
Market data
Updated 61 days ago
StaleJun 9, 26, 9:59 PMJul 1, 26, 3:59 AM
Probability Timeline
920-9598%
880-9193%
960-99999%
1120-11590%
1040-10790%
1000-10392%
440-4590%
640-6790%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
