PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
40-64 · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
40-64 54.3%Leader of 10 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
40-64 54.3%Market quality
78 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$72.1K
Liquidity
$86.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
40-64Spread
—
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Oct 8, 26, 4:07 PM UTCOct 12, 26, 4:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · 40-64
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 10 12:00 PM ET to October 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.