PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 200-219
Resolved: Jun 23, 2026, 6:34 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
200-219 100%+67.5ptLeader of 26 outcomes
Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$883.6K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknown7d Change
-15.4 pts
Market data
Updated 69 days ago
StaleJun 13, 26, 4:08 AMJun 23, 26, 4:00 PM
Probability Timeline
100-1192%
280-2995%
120-1392%
160-1794%
300-3191%
180-19961%
240-2595%
200-219100%
140-1591%
260-2792%
220-2393%
320-3390%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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0%
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0%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 16 12:00 PM ET to June 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
