Current implied probability
Andy Burnham 85%+31.0%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.3K
Liquidity
$4.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
21.0% / 54.0%
Spread
157.1%
Wide spread7d Change
-16.5%
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
May 13, 26, 7:06 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
Andy Burnham85%
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- “Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election.
- Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
- If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.