PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
August 63.2%+23.6ptLeader of 12 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
76 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$9.2K
Liquidity
$49.2K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
19
7d Change
-41.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jan 29, 26, 9:19 PMJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM
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Rules
This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.
- The “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used.
- A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.
- The resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
- If two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.
- Only Binance BTC/USDT data will be used.
